This page contains the numbered sources for the full non-abridged version of the book Scotland the Brief.
Content from the book that is directly replicated on businessforScotland.com will also match the numbered sources here.
- Progress Scotland (2019), ‘63% majority believe Scotland will become independent ’ www. progressscotland.org/research/63-majority-believe- scotland-will-become-independent
- BBC (2013), ‘Scottish Independence: What Have the Polls Been Saying?: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk- scotland-scotland-politics-24124631
- The Scottish Government, ‘Scottish Natural Capital: Ecosystem Service Accounts 2019’, p. 2: www.gov.scot/ binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/ statistics/2019/03/scottish-natural-capital- ecosystem-service-accounts-2019/documents/ scottish-natural-capital-ecosystem-service- accounts-2019/scottish-natural-capital-ecosystem- service-accounts-2019/govscot%3Adocument/scottish-natural-capital-ecosystem-service- accounts-2019.pdf
- The Scottish Government, ‘Scottish Natural Capital: Ecosystem Service Accounts 2019’, p. 2
- The Scottish Government, ‘Scottish Natural Capital: Ecosystem Service Accounts 2019’, p. 28
- The figure is based on the author’s calculations following correspondence with the Food & Drink Federation: www.fdf.org.uk/statsataglance.aspx
- The figure for Scotland’s % of UK cattle was obtained by using the figures provided by the Scottish Government as well as the UK Government statistics in order to calculate the proportion in Scotland: www. gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/structure- of-the-livestock-industry-in-england-at-december– www.gov.scot/publications/results-june-2018-scottish-agricultural-census/pages/7/
- The percentages are based on the Business for Scotland’s research and calculations: www. businessforscotland.com/scotland-is-one-of-the- worlds-most-naturally-wealthy-nations/
- The figure for Norway was obtained by taking the sum of the already-CPI adjusted net state revenue from
oil and gas in Norway 1975-2018. The figure for the UK was obtained by taking the sum of the inflation adjusted net state revenue for the same time period, figures included in Oil and Gas authority states with 2017/18 as a baseline: www.norskpetroleum.no/en/ economy/governments-revenues/; www.ogauthority. co.uk/media/5389/tax_table_mar_2019.pdf - BBC, ‘UK Oil and Gas Production Forecast Raised’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland- business-47516655
- The percentages are based on the Business
for Scotland’s research and calculations: www. businessforscotland.com/scotland-is-one-of-the- worlds-most-naturally-wealthy-nations/ - Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Scotch Whisky Exports Analysis 2017’: www.scotch-whisky.org.uk/ newsroom/scotch-whisky-exports-analysis-2017/
- Scotch Whisky Association, ‘International trade’: www. scotch-whisky.org.uk/insights/international-trade/ Export Statistics Scotland (2019), ‘Export
- Statistics Scotland 2017’, p.7: www2.gov.scot/ Resource/0054/00545619.pdf; SPICe (2016), ‘Export Statistics Scotland 2014’, p.4: www.parliament. scot/ResearchBriefingsAndFactsheets/S4/SB_16- 16_Export_Statistics_Scotland_2014.pdf
- Scottish Enterprise. (2019) ‘Survey of International Activity in the Oil and Gas Sector 2016/17’, p.9: www. scottish-enterprise-mediacentre.com/resources/ zt2wx-brssp-o332a-t1div-uc6jw
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Development of Supply & Use Satellite Accounts for Extra- Regio Economic Activities’, p.1: www2.gov.scot/ Resource/0053/00534208.pdf
- Scotland’s exports including oil and gas from: The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Development of Supply & Use Satellite Accounts for Extra-Regio Economic Activities.’; Export Statistics Scotland (2019), ‘Export Statistics Scotland 2017’, p.7; SPICe (2016) ‘Export Statistics Scotland 2014’; Population data from: ONS (2018), ‘Population estimates for the UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: mid-2017’ www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/ populationandmigration/populationestimates/ bulletins/annualmidyearpopulationestimates/ mid2017
- UK (excluding Scotland) exports from: Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Balance of Payments: Exports: Total Trade in Goods & Services: CP NSA £m Time Series’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/ nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/timeseries/ ktmw/bb
- Fraser of Allander Institute (2017), ‘Employment Supported by Scottish Export Demand’, p.1: www.sbs. strath.ac.uk/economics/fraser/20170420/Exports- and-Employment-Scotland.pdf
- Fraser of Allander Institute (2018), ‘Scotland in 2050: Realising our Global Potential’, p.2: www.sbs.strath.ac.uk/economics/fraser/20180919/Scotland_ in_2050_Realising_our_global_potential.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019). ‘A Trading Nation – a plan for growing Scotland’s exports’, p.13: www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/ govscot/publications/strategy-plan/2019/05/ scotland-a-trading-nation/documents/scotland- a-trading-nation/scotland-a-trading-nation/ govscot%3Adocument/326205_SCT0319861220- 001_%252BWR.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019). ‘A Trading Nation – a plan for growing Scotland’s exports’, p.13
- The Scottish Government (2019) ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts, Scotland 2018’, p.10: www2.gov. scot/Resource/0054/00546840.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019). ‘A Trading Nation – a plan for growing Scotland’s exports’, p.13
- The Electoral Commission, ‘EU referendum results’: www.electoralcommission.org.uk/find- information-by-subject/elections-and-referendums/ past-elections-and-referendums/eu-referendum/ electorate-and-count-information
- The Electoral Commission, ‘EU referendum results’
- Fraser of Allander (2018), ‘Long-term Economic Implications of Brexit’, p.17: www.parliament.scot/ General %20Documents/Fraser_of_Allander_-_ Brexit.pdf
- Life Sciences Scotland (2017), ‘An Updated Strategy for a Fast Growing Sector’: www.lifesciencesscotland. com/about-life-sciences-scotland/strategy
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Growth Sector Statistics Database – Table 2.1 & 2.2’: www2.gov.scot/ Topics/Statistics/Browse/Business/Publications/ GrowthSectors/Database
- Skills Development Scotland (2017), ‘Scotland’s Digital Technologies: Summary Report’, p.14: www. skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/media/43306/ scotlands-digital-technologies-summary-report.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2018) ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 1.2
- BBC (2018), ‘Plans for First Rocket Launch Dedicated to Scottish Satelite’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk- scotland-glasgow-west-44194126
- European Commission (2017), ‘Regional Innovation Scoreboard 2017’, p.32: publications.europa.eu/en/ publication-detail/-/publication/ce38bc9d-5562-11e7- a5ca-01aa75ed71a1
- Nesta (2019), ‘European Digital Social Innovation Index’: www.nesta.org.uk/data-visualisation-and- interactive/european-digital-social-innovation-index/
- Scottish Parliament Information Centre (2018), ‘European Union Funding In Scotland’: sp-bpr-en- prod-cdnep.azureedge.net/published/2018/9/28/ European-Union-funding-in-Scotland/SB%2018-61. pdf – Business for Scotland Calculations.
- Scotland Development International (2018), ‘Aerospace and Space’: www.sdi.co.uk/business-in- scotland/key-sectors/aerospace-and-space
- Times Higher Education (2019), ‘World University Rankings 2019’: www.timeshighereducation.com/ world-university-rankings/2019/world-ranking#!/ page/0/length/25/sort_by/rank/sort_order/asc/ cols/stats
- The National (2018), ‘£5m Funding Will Match
Firm with Experts’: www.thenational.scot/ news/17203178.5m-funding-will-match-firms-with- experts/ - The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Innovation and Entrepreneurship’: www.gov.scot/policies/supporting- business/innovation-and-entrepreneurship/
- Eurostat (2018), ‘Gross Domestic Expenditure on R&D, 2006 and 2016’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics- explained/index.php?title=File:Gross_domestic_ expenditure_on_R_%26_D,_2006_and_2016_(%25,_ relative_to_GDP)_FP18.png
- Nesta (2017), ‘The New UK R&D Target: Why It’s Now Time To Move The Measurement Goalposts’: www. nesta.org.uk/blog/the-new-uk-rd-target-why-its-now- time-to-move-the-measurement-goalposts/
- Nesta (2014), ‘When Small is Beautiful: Lessons from Highly Innovative Smaller Nations’, p.4: media.nesta.org.uk/documents/ when20small20is20beautiful20final.pdf
- Office of Rail and Road, ‘Estimates of station usage’: orr.gov.uk/__data/assets/pdf_file/0009/39960/ estimates-of-station-usage-2017-18-key-facts.pdf
- Scottish Development International, ‘Why Choose Scotland’: www.sdi.co.uk/why-choose-scotland/ infrastructure-and-connectivity
- Scottish Development International, ‘Why Choose Scotland’
- The Scottish Parliament, ‘SPICe Briefing: Transport in Scotland’, p.16: www.parliament.scot/ ResearchBriefingsAndFactsheets/S5/SB_16-55_ Transport_in_Scotland.pdf
- Scottish Development International, ‘Why Choose Scotland’
- Juniper Research (2017), ‘Top 10 UK Smart Cities in 2017’: www.juniperresearch.com/resources/ infographics/top-10-uk-smart-cities-in-2017- infographic
- Scotland’s Environment, ‘Rivers and Lochs’: www. environment.gov.scot/media/1180/water-rivers-and- lochs.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘Annual Compendium of Scottish Energy Statistics: May 2019 Update’, p.13: www.gov.scot/binaries/ content/documents/govscot/publications/ publication/2019/05/energy-consumer- action-plan-putting-consumers-heart- scotlands-energy-transition/documents/ annual-compendium-scottish-energy-statistics/ annual-compendium-scottish-energy-statistics/ govscot%3Adocument/annual-compendium- scottish-energy-statistics.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019), Annual Compendium of Scottish Energy Statistics, p.85
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Climate Change Plan: Monitoring Report October 2018’, p.7: www.gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/publications/progress-report/2018/10/ climate-change-plan-monitoring-report-2018/ documents/00542587-pdf/00542587-pdf/ govscot%3Adocument/00542587.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Climate Change Plan: Monitoring Report October 2018’, p.11
- The Scottish Government, ‘National Public Bodies Directory’: www.sdi.co.uk/about-sdi/global-offices
- The Scottish Parliament, ‘Devolved and Reserved Matters’: www.parliament.scot/visitandlearn/ Education/18642.aspx
- The Scottish Development International, ‘Global offices’: www.sdi.co.uk/about-sdi/global-offices
- The Scottish Government (2018),
‘The Sustainable Economic Growth
Commission’, p.30: static1.squarespace.com/ static/5afc0bbbf79392ced8b73dbf/t/5b0a988c352 f53c0a5132a23/1527421195436/SGC+Full+Report.pdf - The Scottish Government (2018), ‘The Sustainable Economic Growth Commission’, p.38
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘The Sustainable Economic Growth Commission’, p.41
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘Scottish National Investment Bank Bill’: www.parliament.scot/S5_Bills/ Scottish%20National%20Investment%20Bank%20 Bill/SPBill43S052019.pdf
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population aged 25-64 by educational attainment level, sex and NUTS 2 regions (%) 2018’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/education-and- training/data/database
- World Economic Forum, ‘Human Capital Index’: reports.weforum.org/global-human-capital- report-2017/dataexplorer/?doing_wp_cron=156104 0155.6676580905914306640625; Eurostat (2019), ‘Population aged 25-64 by educational attainment’
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Quarterly Labour Market Briefing – February 2019’, p.6: www2.gov.scot/ Resource/0054/00546705.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘New Modern Apprentice Target’, p.7: www.gov.scot/news/ new-modern-apprentice-target/; Skills Development Scotland (2018), ‘Annual Participation Measure for 16-19 Year Olds in Scotland 2018’; www.skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/ media/44876/2018_annual-participation-measure- report.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Summary Statistics for Attainment and Initial Leavers Destinations, No. 1: 2019 Edition’, p.2 and 9: www.gov.scot/binaries/ content/documents/govscot/publications/ statistics/2019/02/summary-statistics-attainment- initial-leaver-destinations-1-2019-edition/ documents/summary-statistics-attainment-initial- leaver-destinations-no-1-2019-edition/summary- statistics-attainment-initial-leaver-destinations- no-1-2019-edition/govscot%3Adocument/ summary-statistics-attainment-initial-leaver- destinations-no-1-2019-edition.pdf
- UK Government Department of Education (2018), ‘Destinations of Key Stage 4 and Key Stage 5 Students, England, 2016/17’, p.1: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/ government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_ data/file/748199/Destinations_Main_Text_2017.pdf
- Scottish Government (2018), ‘Regional Employment Patterns in Scotland: Annual Population Survey 2018’, p.30: www.gov.scot/binaries/content/ documents/govscot/publications/statistics/2019/05/ regional-employment-patterns-scotland-statistics- annual-population-survey-2018/documents/ regional-employment-patterns-scotland-annual- population-survey-2018/regional-employment- patterns-scotland-annual-population-survey-2018/ govscot%3Adocument/regional-employment- patterns-scotland-annual-population-survey-2018. pdf
- UK Government Department for Education (2017), ‘Employer Perspectives Survey 2016’, p.77: assets. publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/ system/uploads/attachment_data/file/622343/ EPS_2016_UK_Report.pdf
- UK Government Department of Education (2018) ‘Employer Skills Survey 2017’, p.14: assets.publishing. service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/ uploads/attachment_data/file/746493/ESS_2017_ UK_Report_Controlled_v06.00.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘The Gender Pay Gap: Facts and Figures – 2018’, p.8: sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep. azureedge.net/published/2019/2/4/The-gender-pay- gap—facts-and-figures—2018/SB%2019-08.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Quarterly Labour Market Briefing – February 2019’, p.2: www2.gov.scot/ Resource/0054/00546705.pdf
- Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s First Digital Skills Academy Opens its Doors’: news.gov.scot/news/ scotlands-first-digital-skills-academy-opens-its-doors
- The Guardian (2019), ‘Could IT Skills Shortage Scupper UK Ambitions for Digital Public Services?’: www.theguardian.com/society/2019/feb/22/it- skills-shortage-scupper-uk-digital-ambitions-public- services
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Supplementary Tables ‘, Table 10: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Economy/ QNAS; UK Government (2018), ‘Nominal and Real Regional Gross Value Added (Balanced) by Industry’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/grossvalueaddedgva/ datasets/nominalandrealregional grossvalueaddedbalancedbyindustry
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Supplementary Tables’, Table 10:
- Author’s own calculations: Scottish Government (2019), ‘Quarterly National Accounts, Scotland’; Scottish Government (2019), ‘Whole of Scotland Accounts Project’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/ Browse/Economy/SNAP/satelliteaccounts; OECD (2019), ‘Value Added and its Components by Activity, ISIC Rev 4’: stats.oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=SNA_TABLE6A#
- Statistics Norway (2019). ‘National Accounts –Final expenditure and gross domestic product, by macroeconomic indicator, contents and year’: www. ssb.no/en/nasjonalregnskap-og-konjunkturer/ statistikker/knr
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Supplementary Tables’, Table 10
- World Bank (2019), ‘GDP Per Captia (Current US$)’: data.worldbank.org/indicator/ny.gdp.pcap.cd?most_ recent_value_desc=true
- Norges Investment Bank (2019), ‘The Fund’: www. nbim.no/
- Norsk Petroleum (2019) ‘The Government’s Revenues’: www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/ governments-revenues/; UK Oil and Gas Authority (2019), ‘Government Revenues from UK Oil and Gas Production’: www.ogauthority.co.uk/media/5389/ tax_table_mar_2019.pdf
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population Projections’: ec.europa. eu/eurostat/en/web/population-demography- migration-projections/statistics-illustrated
- British Petroleum (2018), ‘BP Statistical Review of World Energy’
- Author’s own calculations: Scottish Government (2019), ‘Quarterly National Accounts, Scotland’; Scottish Government (2019), ‘Whole of Scotland Accounts Project’; OECD (2019), ‘Value Added and its Components by Activity, ISIC Rev 4’: stats.oecd.org/ Index.aspx?DataSetCode=SNA_TABLE6A#
- Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy, UK: 2017’: www.ons. gov.uk/economy/environmentalaccounts/bulletins/ finalestimates/2017
- Scottish Government (2018), ‘Renewable Energy’: www2.gov.scot/renewableenergy
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Energy Statistics Database’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/ Business/Energy/Database
- Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy Final Estimates’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/environmentalaccounts/ datasets/lowcarbonandrenewableenergy economyfirstestimatesdataset
- Export Statistics Scotland (2019),’Export Statistics Scotland 2017’, p. 43
- Community Energy Scotland, ‘Projects database’: www.communityenergyscotland.org.uk/projects.asp
- The National (2018), ‘Surge in number of community owned renewable energy projects’: www.thenational.scot/news/16412977.surge-in-number-of-community-owned-renewable-energy-projects/
- Department for Business, Energy & Industrial Strategy, ‘UK Energy Statistics, 2018 & Q4 2018’: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/ uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/ file/791297/Press_Notice_March_2019.pdf
93. Scottish Government, ‘Annual energy statement 2019’: www.gov.scot/publications/annual-energy- statement-2019/pages/3/
94. Scottish Government (2011), ‘Renewable Energy and Power Cables’: www2.gov.scot/ Publications/2011/03/16182005/68
95. UK Government (2019), ‘Energy Trends: UK Renewables, January to March 2019’: www.gov.uk/ government/statistics/energy-trends-section-6- renewables
96. Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy Final Estimates’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/environmentalaccounts/ datasets/lowcarbonandrenewableenergy economyfirstestimatesdataset
97. BBC (2017), ‘World’s First Floating Wind Farm Starts Generating Electricity’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk- scotland-41652707
98. Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy Final Estimates’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/environmentalaccounts/ datasets/lowcarbonandrenewable energyeconomyfirstestimatesdataset
99. Independent (2018), ‘Wind and Solar Power Investment Crashed After Government Cut Funding, Show New Figures’: www.independent.co.uk/news/ uk/politics/wind-power-solar-investment-drop- uk-government-funding-environment-figures- budget-a8162261.html
100. Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Low Carbon and Renewable Energy Economy Final Estimates’
101. The Guardian (2019), ‘Renewable Energy Jobs in
UK Plunge by a Third’: www.theguardian.com/ environment/2019/may/30/renewable-energy-jobs- in-uk-plunge-by-a-third
102. Scottish Government (2018), ‘Oil and Gas Production Statistics 2017-18’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/ Browse/Economy/oilgas1718
103. Macrotrends (2019), ‘Crude Oil Prices: 70 Year Historical Chart’: www.macrotrends.net/1369/crude- oil-price-history-chart
104. Reuters (2018),’Shell poised to dethrone Exxon in oil titans’ cash clash’: uk.reuters.com/article/uk-shell- results/shell-poised-to-dethrone-exxon-in-oil-titans- cash-clash-idUKKBN1FL47G
105. Macrotrends (2019), ‘Crude Oil Prices: 10 Year Daily Chart’: www.macrotrends.net/2516/wti-crude-oil-prices-10-year-daily-chart
- Reuters (2018),’Not dead yet: Home of Brent crude gets new lease of life’: www.reuters.com/article/us- northsea-oil-analysis/not-dead-yet-home-of-brent- crude-gets-new-lease-of-life-idUSKBN1K72RN
- BBC (2014),’North Sea Oil: Facts and Figures’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland- politics-26326117
- The Guardian (2019), ‘Discovery of the Biggest UK
Gas Field in a Decade Raises Industry Hopes’: www. theguardian.com/business/2019/jan/29/discovery-of- biggest-uk-gas-field-in-a-decade-glengorm-north-sea - Opito (2018), ‘UKCS – Workforce Dynamics: The Skills Landscape 2019-2025’, p.7: downloads.opito. com/downloads/Publications/UKCS-Workforce- Dynamics-The-Skills-Landscape-2019-2025. pdf?mtime=20190501185622
- BP (2018), ‘BP Starts-Up Claire Ridge Production’: www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and- insights/press-releases/bp-starts-up-clair-ridge- production.html
- Oil and Gas People (2014),’Scottish West Coast Untapped Oil and Gas Reserves Worth Billions’: www. oilandgaspeople.com/news/1039/scottish-west- coast-untapped-oil-and-gas-reserves-worth-billions/
- Oil and Gas UK (2017), ‘Two New Reports to Boost Decommissioning Intelligence’: oilandgasuk.co.uk/ two-new-reports-to-boost-decommissioning- intelligence/
- Offshore Energy Today(2018). ‘No coherent plan
for UK oil and gas industry, Unite warns‘; www. offshoreenergytoday.com/no-coherent-plan-for-uk- oil-and-gas-industry-unite-warns/ - Scottish Government (2019), ‘Growth Sector Statistics Database’
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Growth Sector Statistics Database’
- Oil and Gas UK (2019), ‘Workforce Report 2018’, p.10- 12: oilandgasuk.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2019/03/ OGUK-Workforce-Report-2018.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Growth Sector Statistics Database’
- Reuters (2019), ‘Shell Sticking With Spending Discipline as 2018 Profits Soar’: uk.reuters.com/ article/us-shell-results/shell-sticking-with-spending- discipline-as-2018-profits-soar-idUKKCN1PP0OR
- Financial Times (2019), ‘North Sea Oil’s Revival Still Demands Courage from Investors’: www.ft.com/ content/48d3fe96-ffb9-11e8-ac00-57a2a826423e
- Scottish Enterprise (2019), ‘Survey of International Activity in the Oil and Gas Sector 2016/17’, p.9
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Satellite Accounts for Extra-Regio Economic Activities’, p.1
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Whole of Scotland Economic Accounts Project’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/ Statistics/Browse/Economy/SNAP/satelliteaccounts
- Scottish Government (2016), ‘Energy in Scotland: Get the Facts’: www.webarchive.org.uk/wayback/archive/20170104134816/www.gov.scot/Topics/ Business-Industry/Energy/Facts; Eurostat (2019), ‘Population on 1 January by Age, Sex and NUTS 2 Region’
- The Guardian (2019), ‘Discovery of the Biggest UK Gas Field in a Decade Raises Industry Hopes’: www.theguardian.com/business/2019/jan/29/discovery-of- biggest-uk-gas-field-in-a-decade-glengorm-north-sea
- Scottish Government (2018), ‘Oil and Gas Production Statistics 2017-18’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/ Browse/Economy/oilgas1718
- Oil and Gas UK (2017), ‘Brexit and the Oil and Gas Industry’: oilandgasuk.co.uk/brexit-and-the-uk-oil- and-gas-industry/
- Oil and Gas UK (2017), ‘Brexit and the Oil and Gas Industry’: oilandgasuk.co.uk/brexit-and-the-uk-oil- and-gas-industry/
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 1.1 & 2.5
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 2.1
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 5.2
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 2.15
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Scottish Sea Fisheries Statistics 2017’, p.8: www.gov. scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/ publications/statistics/2018/09/scottish- sea-fisheries-statistics-2017/documents/ corrected-scottish-sea-fisheries-statistics-2017/ corrected-scottish-sea-fisheries-statistics-2017/ govscot%3Adocument/00542009.pdf
- House of Lords Select Committee, ‘Chapter 8: Fisheries and trade’: publications.parliament. uk/pa/ld201617/ldselect/ldeucom/78/7811. htm#footnote-078
- The Scottish Government (2017), ‘EU funding for Seafood Scotland’: news.gov.scot/news/eu-funding- for-seafood-scotland
- Scotland is now, ‘Food and drink’: www.scotland.org/ about-scotland/food-and-drink
- NFU Scotland (2018), ‘What We Produce’: www.nfus. org.uk/farming-facts/what-we-produce.aspx
- The Scottish Government (2013), ‘Scotland’s future and Scottish fisheries’, p.3: www.gov.scot/binaries/ content/documents/govscot/publications/corporate- report/2014/08/scotlands-future-scottish-fisheries/ documents/00458445-pdf/00458445-pdf/ govscot%3Adocument/00458445.pdf
- Author’s personal correspondence with Scotland’s Rural College SRUC Research Team
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Farm workers in Scottish agriculture’, p.19: www.gov. scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/ publications/research-and-analysis/2018/03/ farm-workers-scottish-agriculture-case-studies-international-seasonal-migrant-labour/ documents/00533236-pdf/00533236-pdf/ govscot%3Adocument/00533236.pdf
- Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Facts and figures’: www.scotch-whisky.org.uk/insights/facts-figures/
- Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Facts and figures’
- Forbes (2018),’The 4 Companies Behind 3/4 Of All Scotch Whisky Production’: www.forbes.com/sites/ felipeschrieberg/2016/09/28/the-4-companies- behind-34-of-all-scotch-whisky-production/
- Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Facts and figures’
- Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Facts and figures’
- The Scottish Government (2018) ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 1.2
- O’Connor, A (2018) ‘Brewing and distilling in Scotland,’ SPICe briefing, p.4: https://sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep. azureedge.net/published/2018/10/11/Brewing-and- distilling-in-Scotland—economic-facts-and-figures/ SB%2018-64.pdf
- O’Connor, A (2018) ‘Brewing and distilling in Scotland,’ SPICe briefing, p.5
- Brewing Industry Leadership Group (2018), ‘Brewing Up A Storm’, p.4: www.foodanddrink.scot/media/1871/ brewing-strategy.pdf
- Brewing Industry Leadership Group (2018), ‘Brewing Up A Storm’, p.3
- O’Connor, A (2018) ‘Brewing and distilling in Scotland,’ SPICe briefing, p.18
- O’Connor, A (2018) ‘Brewing and distilling in Scotland,’ SPICe briefing, p.18
- World Whisky Day, ‘Whisky Producing Countries: France’: www.worldwhiskyday.com/whisky-countries- france/
- Scotch Whisky Association (2018), ‘Facts and figures.’
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162. Skills Development Scotland (2018), ‘Scotland’s Digital Technologies: Summary Report,’ p.6
163. The Scottish Government (2018) ‘Growth Sector Statistics’ Database – Table 1.2
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166. The City (2019), ‘Enabling growth across the UK 2019’, p.30-31
167. Hannah Burley (2019), ‘Scotland finance exports grow faster than London’, The Scotsman: www.scotsman. com/business/companies/scottish-finance-exports- grow-faster-than-london-1-4901150
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169. The City (2018), ‘Exporting from across Britain’, p.19
170. The City (2019), ‘Enabling growth across the UK 2019’,p.30-31
171. The City (2019), ‘Exporting from across Britain 2019’,p.20
172. The Scottish Government (2019), ‘Export StatisticsScotland’, p.41
173. The Guardian (2019), ‘City firms prepare to shift£800bn out of UK as Brexit looms’: www.theguardian. com/business/2019/jan/07/city-firms-prepare-to- shift-800bn-out-of-uk-as-brexit-looms
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175. Scottish Enterprise, ‘Life Science Cluster Database’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Business/Publications/GrowthSectors/ LifeSciencesSourcebook
176. Scottish Enterprise, ‘Life Science Cluster Database’ 177. Scottish Enterprise, ‘Life Science Cluster Database’ 178. Life Sciences Scotland (2017), ‘Life Sciences Strategy for Scotland – ‘2025 Vision’: www.lifesciencesscotland.com/about-life-sciences-scotland/strategy
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180. Life Sciences in Scotland, ‘Invest’: www.lifesciencesscotland.com/invest
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- Life Sciences in Scotland, ‘Animal Bioscience, Aquaculture and Agritech’
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- Scottish Enterprise (2019), ‘Chemical Sciences Facts’
- Scottish Enterprise (2019), ‘Chemical Sciences Facts’
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- Skills Development Scotland (2016), ‘Scotland’s Digital Technologies: Summary Report’, pg 3-6
- Skills Development Scotland (2016), ‘Scotland’s Digital Technologies: Summary Report’, pg 14
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232. Universities Scotland (2017), ‘Going for Growth: A Summary of Universities Scotland’s Submission to the 2017 Spending Review’, p. 1: www.universities- scotland.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Going- for-Growth-Spending-Review-Short.pdf
233. Universities Scotland (2017), ‘Going for Growth – Our submission to the 2017 Spending Review’: www. universities-scotland.ac.uk/campaigns/going-for- growth/
234. BiGGAR Economics (2010), ‘The contribution of Scottish universities’, p.1: universities-scotland.ac.uk/ wp-content/uploads/2015/12/Biggar-Economics- Summary-Report-June-2010.pdf
235. Universities Scotland (2017), ‘Going for Growth: A Summary of Universities Scotland’s Submission to the 2017 Spending Review’, p. 1: www.universities- scotland.ac.uk/wp-content/uploads/2017/11/Going- for-Growth-Spending-Review-Short.pdf
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239. The Scottish Government (2018), ‘The Impact of International Students in Scotland’, p.15
240. Universtities Scotland, ‘Member Universities’: www. universities-scotland.ac.uk/member-universities
241. Times Higher Education (2019), ‘Times Higher Education World University Rankings (2018-19)’: www.timeshighereducation.com/world-university- rankings/2019/world-ranking
242. Eurostat (2017), ‘Population aged 25-64 by educational attainment level, sex’
243. The Scottish Government (2017), ‘Record Number of Scots Accepted to University’: news.gov.scot/news/ record-number-of-scots-accepted-to-university
244. The Scottish Government (2017), ‘Record Number of Scots Accepted to University’
245. Scottish Parliament (2018), ‘European Union Funding in Scotland’: sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep.azureedge.net/ published/2018/9/28/European-Union-funding-in- Scotland/SB%2018-61.pdf
246. Scottish Parliament (2018), ‘European Union Funding in Scotland’
247. The National, ‘Brexit: Scotland hit by brain drain as 2500 EU academics quit’: www.thenational.scot/ news/18125830.scotland-hit-brexit-brain-drain-eu-academics-leave-universities/
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- Skills Development Scotland (2016), ’Highlands and Islands: Skills Assessment 2016’: www. skillsdevelopmentscotland.co.uk/media/40985/ highlands-islands.pdf
- The Scotsman (2018), ’Scotland Building More Affordable Homes than England’: www.scotsman. com/news/politics/scotland-building-more- affordable-homes-than-england-1-4676278
- Scottish Housing News (2018), ’10,000 Workers Needed to Meet Demand in Scottish Construction Sector’: www.scottishhousingnews.com/ article/10000-workers-needed-meet-demand- scottish-construction-sector
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- Dundee and Angus College (2018), ’Regional Outcome Agreement’:www.aspenpeople.co.uk/DNA/docs/ D-A%20College%20ROA%202018-19%20Final%20 V3.pdf
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- Scotland is Now: www.scotland.org/news/scotland- voted-most-beautiful-country-in-the-world
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Tourism in Scotland: The Economic Contribution of the Sector’, p.29: www.gov.scot/publications/tourism-scotland- economic-contribution-sector/pages/5/,
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Tourism in Scotland: The Economic Contribution of the Sector’, p.5
- The Scottish Government (2018), ’Understanding the Scottish Rural Economy: Research Paper’: www.gov.scot/publications/understanding-scottish-rural- economy/pages/1/
- Visit Scotland (2018), ‘Attractions See Increase in Visitors’: www.visitscotland.org/news/2019/asva- visitor-figures-2018
- BBC(2018),‘WhyaretouristsflockingtoScotland?’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-43418122
- Visit Scotland (2018), ‘Attractions See Increase in Visitors’: www.visitscotland.org/news/2019/asva- visitor-figures-2018
- BBC (2018), ‘Scotland’s Hotels Outperform rest of UK’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland- business-43856439
- The Scottish Government (2018), ’Tourism in Scotland: The Economic Contribution of the Sector’
- Historic Environment Scotland (2018), ‘Record- breaking visitor figures at Scotland’s historic sites’: www.historicenvironment.scot/about-us/news/ record-breaking-visitor-figures-at-scotland-s-historic- sites/
- Edinburgh Festivals (2015), ‘Impact Study’, p.14: www. edinburghfestivalcity.com/assets/000/001/964/ Edinburgh_Festivals_-_2015_Impact_Study_Final_ Report_original.pdf?1469537463
- Edinburgh Festivals (2015), ‘Impact Study’, p.17
- Scottish Golf (2017), ‘Golf Tourism Driving Scotland’s Economy’: www.scottishgolf.org/golf-tourism-driving- scotlands-economy/
- The Scottish Government (2019), ’Rise In European Visitors’: www.gov.scot/news/rise-in-european- visitors/
- The Scottish Government (2019),’Rise In European Visitors’
- ADSGroup(2017),‘Scotland’sSpaceSectorPlays Leading Role as ADS Industries Grow to £6bn’: www.adsgroup.org.uk/news/newsroom/scotland-s-space- sector-plays-leading-role-as-ads-industries-grow-to- 6bn/Additional author correspondence with ADS Group.
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- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘Scotland’s £4bn Space Sector’
- Author correspondence with ADS Group
- London Economics (2018), ‘Size and Health of the UK Space Industry 2018’, p.22: assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/774450/LE-SHUKSI_2018- SUMMARY_REPORT-FINAL-Issue4-S2C250119.pdf
- The Press and Journal (2018), ‘Sutherland Spaceport Could Create 400 Jobs’: www.pressandjournal.co.uk/ fp/news/highlands/1522054/sutherland-spaceport- could-create-400-jobs-and-reverse-population- decline/
- BBC (2017), ‘Scottish space industry soaring high’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/38804310
- BBC (2014), ‘Scotland could be base for spaceport says UK Government’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-politics-28276525
- BBC (2018), ‘Plans for First Rocket Launch Dedicatedto Scottish Satelite’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-glasgow-west-44194126
- European Parliament (2018), ‘EU Space Programme’:www.europarl.europa.eu/RegData/etudes/BRIE/2018/628300/EPRS_BRI(2018)628300_EN.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s Carers’:www.gov.scot/publications/scotlands-carers/pages/2/
- Carers Trust (2015), ‘Carers Trust Scotland’: carers.org/country/carers-trust-scotland
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s Carers’
- Shared Care Scotland (2017), ‘Not Just a Carer’: www.sharedcarescotland.org.uk/notjustacarer/
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s Carers’
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s Carers’,Table: Age & Gender
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘Scotland’s Carers’
- Close the Gap (2017), ‘Women, Work and Poverty inScotland: What You Need to Know’: www.closethegap. org.uk/content/resources/1—Women-work-and- poverty-what-you-need-to-know.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2018),’ Over 75,000 Carers ReceiveNewPayment’:www.gov.scot/news/over-75- 000-carers-receive-new-payment/
- Based on the author’s calculations on data available at the World Bank: info.worldbank.org/governance/ wgi/#reports
- The Scottish Government (2017), ‘Scottish Attitudes Survey: Attitudes to Government, the Economy
and Public Services’, p.14: www.gov.scot/binaries/ content/documents/govscot/publications/ statistics/2018/06/scottish-social-attitudes-attitudes- government-economy-public-services-2017/ documents/00537402-pdf/00537402-pdf/ govscot%3Adocument/00537402.pdf - Based on the author’s calculations on data available at the World Bank
- The Scottish Government (2017), ‘Scottish Attitudes Survey: Attitudes to Government, the Economy and Public Services’, p.7
- The Scottish Government (2017), ‘Scottish Attitudes Survey: Attitudes to Government, the Economy and Public Services’, p.10
- NHS Digital (2018), ‘Hospital Accident and Emergency Activity, 2017-18: Home Nations Comparative Analysis’: digital.nhs.uk/data-and-information/ publications/statistical/hospital-accident— emergency-activity/2017-18
- Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Country and Regional Public Sector Finances Expenditure Tables’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/publicsectorfinance/datasets/countryandregionalpublicsectorfinancesexpendituretables
- British Medical Association (2017), ‘State of the Health System: Beds in the NHS’:https://www.bma.org.uk//media/files/pdfs/collective%20voice/policy%20research/nhs%20structure%20and%20delivery/ nhs%20bed%20occupancy/nhs-bed-occupancy- report-feb2017.pdf
- BBC (2019), ‘Scotland Has More GPs Than Restof UK, Study Finds’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk- scotland-48191210.
- What Scotland Thinks (2014), ‘Do you think health and safety regulations, consumer protection and competition law should be devolved to the Scottish government, or remain with Westminster?’: whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/do-you-think- health-and-safety-regulations-consumer-protection- and-competition
- What Scotland Thinks (2014), ‘Should the Scottish Parliament Have Control Over VAT’: whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/should-the- scottish-parliament-have-control-over-vat
- WhatScotlandThinks(2014),‘ShouldtheScottish Parliament Have Control Over Corporation Tax’: whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/should-the- scottish-parliament-have-control-over-corporation- tax-1
- What Scotland Thinks (2014) ‘Do you believe the new powers devolved to the Scottish Parliament should include control of oil and gas tax revenues generated in Scottish waters?’: whatscotlandthinks.org/ questions/do-you-believe-the-new-powers-devolved- to-the-scottish-parliament-should-inclu-3
- What Scotland Thinks (2014), ‘Do you believe the new powers devolved to the Scottish Parliament should include control of the welfare and benefits system?’: whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/do-you- believe-the-new-powers-devolved-to-the-scottish- parliament-should-inclu-1
- What Scotland Thinks (2014), ‘Do You Think how Elections to the Scottish Parliament are Run Should be Devolved to the Scottish Government’: whatscotlandthinks.org/questions/do-you-think- how-elections-to-the-scottish-parliament-are-run- should-be-devolve
- House of Lords, Select Committee on the Constitution, ‘12th Report of Session 2009–10: Referendums in the United Kingdom’: https:// publications.parliament.uk/pa/ld200910/ldselect/ldconst/99/99.pdf
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Gross Domestic Product at MarketPrices’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/databrowser/ view/tec00001/default/table?lang=en; Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts 2018, Q4’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/ Browse/Economy/QNA2018Q4
- Office for National Statistics (2015),
‘Population Density Tables’: www.ons.gov. uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/ populationandmigration/populationestimates/ datasets/populationdensitytables; Scottish Government (2019), ‘Facts and Figures About Scotland’s Sea Area’: marine.gov.scot/data/facts-and- figures-about-scotlands-sea-area-coastline-length- sea-area-sq-kms - The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Scotland, Quarter 4 2018’, p.7
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population on 1 January by Age and Sex’: appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show. do?dataset=demo_pjan&lang=en
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Main Tables – GDP Aggregates’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/national-accounts/data/ main-tables
- IMF (2019), ‘General Government Gross Debt’: www. imf.org/external/datamapper/[email protected] WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD/BEL/GBR; The Global Economy (2017), ‘Exports, percent of GDP – Country rankings’: www.theglobaleconomy.com/ rankings/Exports/#United-Kingdom; OECD (2019), ‘Net pension replacement rates’: data.oecd.org/ pension/net-pension-replacement-rates.htm
- Eurostat (2019),’Population and Population Change Statistics’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/statistics-explained/index.php/Population_and_population_change_statistics#Population_change_at_a_national_level
- IMF (2019), ‘General Government Gross Debt’
- The Global Economy (2017), ‘Exports, percent of GDP’;OECD (2019), ‘Net pension replacement rates’
- OECD (2019), ‘Net pension replacement rates’
- Eurostat (2019), ’Labour productivity per personemployed and hour worked’: ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/products-datasets/-/tesem160
- Author’s own calculations: OECD (2019), ‘AverageUsual Weekly Hours Worked on the Main Job’: stats. oecd.org/Index.aspx?DataSetCode=AVE_HRS; OECD (2019); ‘Employment Rate’: data.oecd.org/emp/ employment-rate.htm#indicator-chart; OECD (2019), ‘Gross Domestic Product’: data.oecd.org/gdp/gross- domestic-product-gdp.htm
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population’; Eurostat (2019),’ GDP Aggregates’; EUR:GBP correct as of July 2019
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population’; Eurostat (2019), ‘GDPAggregates’
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population’; Eurostat (2019), ‘GDPAggregates’
- Eurostat (2019), ‘Population’; Eurostat (2019), ‘GDPAggregates’
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Scotland, Quarter 4 2018’, p.7
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Scotland, Quarter 4 2018’, p.7
- Fraser of Allander (2019), ‘GDP per capita-the importance of oil, and are Scots actually better off?’: fraserofallander.org/scottish-economy/gdp-per- capita-the-importance-of-oil-and-are-scots-actually- better-off/
- The World Bank (2018), ‘GDP growth’: data.worldbank. org/indicator/ny.gdp.mktp.kd.zg
- Eurostat (2018), ‘Productivity per person and per hour worked’; IMF (2018), ‘GDP per capita’
- IMF (2018), ‘Gross Government Debt’
- OECD (2019), ‘Net pension replacement rates’
- Author’s personal correspondence with ADSGroup
- Scottish Financial Review (2019), ‘Scots Space Industry ‘To Be Worth £4bn By 2030’: scottishfinancialreview.com/2019/03/14/scotlands- space-industry-to-be-worth-4bn-by-2030/
- FraserofAllander(2019),‘GDPpercapita-the importance of oil, and are Scots actually better off?’
- The Scottish Government (2019), ‘Scotland’s Labour Market’: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/ Labour-Market/LMTrends
- Skills Development Scotland (2018), ‘Annual Participation Measure for 16-19 Year Olds in Scotland 2018’, p.7; Scottish Government (2019), ‘Quarterly Labour Market Briefing – February 2019’, p.6: www2. gov.scot/Resource/0054/00546705.pdf
- Office for National Statistics (2018), ‘Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings Time Series of Selected Estimates’: www.ons.gov.uk/ employmentandlabourmarket/peopleinwork/ earningsandworkinghours/datasets/ ashe1997to2015selectedestimates
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘The Gender Pay Gap: Facts and Figures – 2018’, p.8: sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep. azureedge.net/published/2019/2/4/The-gender-pay- gap—facts-and-figures—2018/SB%2019-08.pdf
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘Unemployment rate at record low for fifth consecutive month’: blogs.gov.scot/scotlands-economy/2019/05/14/ unemployment-rate-at-record-low-for-fifth- consecutive-month/
- The Scottish Parliament (2018), ‘Scotland’s Economic Performance’, p.20-22: sp-bpr-en-prod-cdnep. azureedge.net/published/EJFW/2018/6/21/Scotland- s-Economic-Performance-1/EJFWS052018R05.pdf
- Ernst and Young (2018), ‘Annual attractiveness survey’, p.3-7
- Centre for Economics and Business Research (2017), ‘The economic contribution of the Maritime sector in Scotland’, p.16-17: www.maritimeuk.org/value/ scottish-maritime-sector/
- Author’s own calculations: Scottish Government (2018), ‘Satellite Accounts for Extra-Regio Economic Activities’, p.11-13; Scottish Government (2019),‘GDPQuarterlyNationalAccounts,Q4;Officefor National Statistics (2019), ‘Total Trade: Exports’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/timeseries/ikbh/mret; Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Gross Domestic Product at Current Market Prices’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/ grossdomesticproductgdp/timeseries/ybha/qna
- The Scottish Government, (2018), ‘Satellite Accounts for Extra-Regio Economic Activities.’; Export Statistics Scotland (2019), ‘Export Statistics Scotland 2017’,
p.7; SPICe (2016) ‘Export Statistics Scotland 2014.’ Population data from: ONS (2018), ‘Population estimates for the UK, England and Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland: mid-2017’; UK (excluding Scotland) exports from: Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Balance of Payments: Exports: Total Trade in Goods & Services: CP NSA £m Time Series’ - Scottish Government (2019), ‘No-deal Brexit – Economic Implications for Scotland’, p.4-5: www. gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/ publications/publication/2019/02/deal-brexit- economic-implications-scotland/documents/ deal-brexit-economic-implications-scotland/ deal-brexit-economic-implications-scotland/ govscot%3Adocument/deal-brexit-economic- implications-scotland.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2019) ‘GDP Quarterly National Accounts Supplementary Tables’, Table 10
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘No-deal Brexit – Economic Implications for Scotland’, p.4
- Scottish Government (2019), ‘No-deal Brexit – Economic Implications for Scotland’, p.4
- BBC (2018), ‘Brexit: Food Prices Could Rise 10%, says Mark Carney’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/ business-46439969
- BBC (2018), ‘Brexit: Food Prices Could Rise 10%, says Mark Carney’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/ business-46439969
- Independent (2019), ‘Brexit: Food Prices to Rise up
to 20% “Almost Instantaneously” After Leaving EU, Warns Birds Eye Boss’: www.independent.co.uk/ news/business/news/brexit-food-price-rise-birds-eye- warning-wto-tariffs-a8784246.html - The Guardian (2019), ‘Sterling Slumps to New Two- Year Low Below $1.23 Amid No-Deal Brexit Fears’: www.theguardian.com/business/live/2019/jul/29/ sterling-new-two-year-low-no-deal-brexit-fears- pound-euro-us-dollar-currencies-business-live
- Bloomberg (2019), ‘Pound Could Plunge to Parity AgainstDollaronaNo-Dealbrexit’:www.bloomberg. com/news/articles/2019-07-17/pound-seen-plunging- to-parity-against-dollar-on-a-no-deal-brexit
- TheInstituteforFiscalStudies(2016),‘TheExposure of Households’ Food Sending Tariff Changes and Exchanged Rate Movements’, p.3: www.ifs.org.uk/ uploads/publications/bns/BN213.pd
- The Pharmaceutical Journal (2017), ‘Brexit could hinder medicines supply to the UK’: www. pharmaceutical-journal.com/news-and-analysis/ news/brexit-could-hinder-medicines-supply-to-uk- mps-told/20204082.article?firstPass=false
- BBC (2018), ‘What would a Brexit ‘No-Deal’ Look Like?”: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-45047874
- The Guardian (2019), ‘UK Food Imports from EU Face ‘£9bn Tarriff Bill’ Under No-Deal Brexit’: www. theguardian.com/politics/2019/feb/23/uk-food- imports-from-eu-face-9bn-tariff-bill-under-no-deal- brexit
- Walsh Mushroom (2017), Walsh Mushrooms Acquires Golden Mushrooms in Positive Move for Irish Mushroom Industry’: www.walshmushrooms.com/ Walsh_Mushrooms_acquires_Golden_Mushrooms_ in_positive_move_for_Irish_mushroom_industry– post–35.html
- The Rice Association (2017), ‘The UK Rice Industry’: http://www.riceassociation.org.uk/content/1/3/rice- in-the-uk.html
- The Scottish Government (2016), ‘The European Regional Development Fund in Scotland,’ p.1: www. gov.scot/binaries/content/documents/govscot/ publications/corporate-report/2017/09/european- regional-development-fund-air-2015/documents/ citizen-summary-european-regional-development- fund-2015-pdf/citizen-summary-european-regional- development-fund-2015-pdf/govscot:document/ Citizen%20Summary%20European%20 Regional%20Development%20Fund%202015.pdf
- The Scottish Government (2015), ‘The European Social Fund in Scotland,’ p.4: www.gov.scot/ binaries/content/documents/govscot/ publications/factsheet/2015/07/esf-citizens- summary/documents/european-social-fund- citizens-summary-pdf/european-social-fund- citizens-summary-pdf/govscot%3Adocument/ European%2BSocial%2BFund%2B- %2Bcitizens%2527%2Bsummary.pdf
- Author’s personal correspondence with SRUC Research Team
- Author’s own calculations, Business for Scotland (2016): www.businessforscotland.com/fm-nicola- sturgeon-must-protect-scotland-brexit-fallout/ FraserofAllanderInstitute(2019),‘GDPpercapita- the importance of oil, and are Scots actually better off?’: fraserofallander.org/scottish-economy/gdp-per-capita-the-importance-of-oil-and-are-scots-actually- better-off/, The Scottish Government’s experimental data: www2.gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/ Economy/GERS/RelatedAreas/LRfiscalbalances2014
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland 2017 – 18’, p.14
- Authors calculations based on: the Scottish Government (2018), ‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland 2017-18’, p.27; a composite of Scottish Government, local authority and public corporations spending
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland 2017-18’, p.3
- BBC (2018), ‘Scottish public finances show improvement’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland- scotland-politics-45260268; The Scotsman (2019), ‘Scottish Government demands more powers to deal with financial “blackhole”’: www.scotsman.com/ news/politics/scottish-government-demands-more- powers-to-deal-with-financial-blackhole-1-4943775
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Government ExpenditureandRevenueScotland2017-18’,p.5
- Based on the author’s calculations of the cumulative amount of UK public sector debt interest assigned to Scotland since 1980/81, as this appears in GERS and earlier national accounts reports.
- The Scottish Government’s experimental data: www2. gov.scot/Topics/Statistics/Browse/Economy/GERS/ RelatedAreas/LRfiscalbalances2014
- Based on the author’s calculations in line with
the GERS figures and the Scottish Government’s experimental data: www2.gov.scot/Topics/ Statistics/Browse/Economy/GERS/RelatedAreas/ LRfiscalbalances2014 - Based on the author’s calculations in line with
the GERS figures and the Scottish Government’s experimental data: www2.gov.scot/Topics/ Statistics/Browse/Economy/GERS/RelatedAreas/ LRfiscalbalances2014 - Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘UK government debt and deficit: March 2019’: www.ons.gov.uk/ economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/ publicspending/bulletins/ ukgovernmentdebtanddeficitforeurostatmaast/ march2019
- Based on the author’s calculations of what would the case be if Scotland were not burdened with the UK public sector debt interest since 1980/81, when GERS was first published
- Based on the author’s calculations of what would be the difference between the current cumulative position of Scotland’s finances, according to GERS, and the cumulative financial position of Scotland without the UK public sector debt interest
- Based on the author’s calculations of the case in which Scotland were not burdened by the UK publicsectordebtinterestanddecidedtoputthe accumulated, since 1980/81, surpluses into an oil fund similar to that of Norway’s and with the same annual rates of return as Norway’s British Petroleum (2019),
- ‘BP Statistical Review of World Energy’: www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/ business-sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy- economics/statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2019- full-report.pdf
- Norges Investment Bank (2019), ‘The Fund’, based on exchange rate of 1 NOK: 0.09243 GBP
- Based on the author’s calculations: 385bn of the worth of the hypothetical Scotland’s national oil/ pension fund plus the cumulative illustrative deficit of £162.5bn of the GERS reports
- Business for Scotland video channel, ‘A pound spent in Croydon is far more of value to the country than a pound spent in Strathclyde’; www.youtube.com/ watch?v=9N2AlpxRY9c
- UK Government (2019), ‘Working for DVLA’: www.gov. uk/government/organisations/driver-and-vehicle- licensing-agency/about/recruitment
- Authors calculations: Scotland population percentage share of total (6,000) staff at DVLA
- InstituteforGovernment(2019),‘CivilServicePay’: www.instituteforgovernment.org.uk/explainers/civil- service-pay
- Author’s calculations: Scotland employment share of DVLA staff multiplied by the median salary of a civil servant
- Author’s own calculations: based on averageweekly household spending in Scotland: Office for National Statistics (2019), ‘Family Spending in the UK: April 2017 to March 2018’: www.ons. gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/ personalandhouseholdfinances/expenditure/ bulletins/familyspendingintheuk/ financialyearending2018
- Author’s own calculation: basic VAT rate of 20% applied to total estimated spending of 498 civil servants
- Author’s own calculation: based on average office price per square foot: Lambert Smith Hampton (2019), ‘Explore Costs’: www.lsh.co.uk/tocs/metrics
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘The Sustainable Economic Growth Commission’, p.38
- Authors own calculations based on: Health and social care funding (2019): www.health.org.uk/news-and- comment/blogs/health-and-social-care-funding
- Authors own calculations based on salary ranges for medical staff published on April 2019
- ONS (2019), ‘UK Government Debt and Deficit: March 2019’: www.ons.gov.uk/ economy/governmentpublicsectorandtaxes/ publicspending/bulletins/ukgovernmentdebtand deficitforeurostatmaast/march2019
- BBC (2018), ‘UK growth to be slowest in G20 this year, says OECD’: www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-43384718
- OECD(2019),‘Netpensionreplacementrates’
- World Bank (2019), ‘Worldwide Governance Indicators’
- Based on UK excluding Scotland exports divided by population excluding Scotland; ONS (2019) ‘UK Trade: January 2019’: www.ons.gov.uk/economy/ nationalaccounts/balanceofpayments/bulletins/ uktrade/january2019
- The Guardian (2018), ‘UK Wages Have Not Recovered to Pre-Crisis Levels’: www.theguardian.com/ business/2018/sep/12/uk-wages-have-not-yet- recovered-to-pre-crisis-levels-says-ifs
- The Guardian (2017), ‘Record 910,000 UK Workers on Zero hours Contacts’: www.theguardian.com/ business/2017/mar/03/zero-hours-contracts-uk- record-high
- Trade Union Congress (2019), ‘British workers putting in longest hours in the EU, TUC analysis finds‘: www. tuc.org.uk/news/british-workers-putting-longest- hours-eu-tuc-analysis-finds
- Eurostat (2018), ‘Productivity per person and per hour worked’; IMF (2018), ‘GDP per capita’
- RAC (2014), ‘UK Drivers Still Facing Highest Fuel Taxes in Europe’: www.racfoundation.org/media-centre/ uk-drivers-still-facing-highest-fuel-tax-in-eu-despite- duty-freeze
- Alston, P. (2018), ‘Statement on Visit to the United Kingdom, by Professor Philip Alston, United Nations – Special Rapporteur on extreme poverty and human rights‘: www.ohchr.org/Documents/Issues/Poverty/ EOM_GB_16Nov2018.pdf
- The Guardian (2019), ‘Brexit weekly briefing: Boris Johnson plays no-deal chicken with EU’: www. theguardian.com/politics/2019/jul/30/brexit-weekly- briefing-boris-johnson-plays-no-deal-chicken-with-eu
- Wishart, P (2016), ‘House of Lords Reform
and Size of the House of Commons‘ Hansard: hansard.parliament.uk/Commons/2016-10-19/ debates/CA0685E2-6A97-43EE-8524- 94C27A53AB25/HouseOfLordsReform AndSizeOfTheHouseOfCommons - UK Oil and Gas Authority (2019), ‘Government Revenues from UK oil and gas production’: www. ogauthority.co.uk/media/5389/tax_table_mar_2019. pdf
- Norwegian Petroleum (2019), ‘The Government’s revenues’: www.norskpetroleum.no/en/economy/ governments-revenues/
- BP (2018), ‘BP Statistical Review of World Energy 2018’: www.bp.com/content/dam/bp/business- sites/en/global/corporate/pdfs/energy-economics/ statistical-review/bp-stats-review-2018-full-report.pdf
- Statista,‘BrentCrudeoilpricesfrom2014to2020’: www.statista.com/statistics/409404/forecast-for-uk- brent-crude-oil-prices/
- ONS(2018),‘The2008Recession10YearsOn:A Decade After the Beginning of the Recession, How Has The UK Economy Recovered?’: www.ons.gov. uk/economy/grossdomesticproductgdp/articles/ the2008recession10yearson/2018-04-30
- TheScottishGovernment(2014),‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland’: www.gov.scot/ publications/government-expenditure-revenue- scotland-2013-14/
- UKOilandGasAuthority(2019),‘Government Revenues from UK oil and gas production’
- UK Government (2017), ‘Petroleum Revenue Tax’: www.gov.uk/guidance/oil-gas-and-mining- petroleum-revenue-tax
- UK Government (2015), ‘Oil and Gas: Supplementary Charge’: www.gov.uk/guidance/oil-gas-and-mining- supplementary-charge
- UK Oil and Gas Authority (2018), ‘UKCS Operating Costs Remain Stable With Slight Rise in 2017’: www. ogauthority.co.uk/news-publications/news/2018/ ukcs-operating-costs-remain-stable-with-slight-rise- in-2017/
- Royal Dutch Shell (2018), ‘Report on payments to governments for the year 2018’: www.shell. com/sustainability/transparency/payments- to-governments/_jcr_content/par/textimage. stream/1554163266774/ 0354390d1d06f4fe154700 810bc50102817feb82/royal-dutch-shell-the- payments-to-governments-report-for-the-year-2018. pdf
- CNBC (2019), ‘Shell Full Year Profits Surges to Four Year High, Beating Expectations’: www.cnbc. com/2019/01/31/shell-earnings-full-year-profits-soar- to-four-year-high.html
- BP (2019), ‘Fourth Quarter and Fully Year Results 2018’: www.bp.com/en/global/corporate/news-and- insights/press-releases/fourth-quarter-2018-results. html
- Exxon Mobil (2019), ‘Exxon Mobil Earns $20.8bn in 2018’: news.exxonmobil.com/press-release/ exxonmobil-earns-208-billion-2018-6-billion-fourth- quarter
- ConocoPhillips (2019), ‘ConocoPhillips Reports Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2018 Results’: www.conocophillips.com/news-media/story/ conocophillips-reports-fourth-quarter-and-full-year- 2018-results-announces-preliminary-2018-year-end- reserves/
- UK Oil and Gas Authority (2019), ‘Government Revenues from UK oil and gas production’: www. ogauthority.co.uk/media/5389/tax_table_mar_2019. pdf
- The Scottish Government (2018), ‘Government Expenditure and Revenue Scotland’: p.23